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Italy’s Deficit Holds at 3.1%, Delaying EU Exit Hopes

Free News Reader  ·  September 22, 2026

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Italy's Deficit Holds at 3.1%, Delaying EU Exit Hopes

  • Italy's 2025 budget deficit remained at 3.1% of GDP, confirmed by Istat on Tuesday, September 22, 2026, exceeding the European Union's 3% ceiling.
  • Economy Minister Giancarlo Giorgetti expressed hope for an exit from the excessive deficit procedure in 2027, despite the current setback.

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Italy’s national statistics office, Istat, confirmed on Tuesday, September 22, 2026, that the country’s 2025 budget deficit remained at 3.1% of Gross Domestic Product. This figure is above the European Union’s 3% limit, dashing Rome’s hopes for an early exit from the EU’s excessive deficit procedure (EDP). The government had anticipated a downward revision of the deficit to 3% or lower, which would have facilitated an earlier departure from the EDP.

The excessive deficit procedure, which Italy entered on July 26, 2024, due to a 7.4% budget deficit in 2023, involves additional fiscal monitoring and potential sanctions. Economy Minister Giancarlo Giorgetti acknowledged the setback, stating that Italy would not exit the procedure this year as hoped, but expressed optimism for an exit in 2027. The European Commission’s latest forecast from May 2026 projects Italy’s deficit to drop to 2.9% in both 2026 and 2027.

Italy has been exploring avenues for budget flexibility, particularly concerning spending on defense and energy. The government has advocated for extending the EU’s “national escape clause,” which allows temporary deviation from fiscal rules for defense spending, to also cover energy-related investments. In August 2026, Finance Minister Giancarlo Giorgetti indicated plans to allocate an additional 0.6% of cumulative GDP for energy security and 0.9% for defense between 2026 and 2028, potentially amounting to around €14 billion for energy security and €21-22 billion for defense. However, the decision not to use the National Escape Clause for defense spending in the past was partly due to concerns it could prolong Italy’s stay in an EDP.