Poll: Clinton Leads Tight Race In Wisconsin

Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton has just barely held onto her lead over Republican nominee Donald Trump in Wisconsin, a state that Democrats won in both 2008 and 2012, a new poll found.

In the Marquette University Law School poll of likely voters, released on September 21, Clinton led Trump by two points, which falls within the survey’s 4.8-point margin of error. A full 12 percent said that they either did not know how they plan to vote, will vote for neither candidate or will not vote at all.

When the poll included all registered voters, rather than likely voters, Clinton had a slightly larger lead with 43 percent to Trump’s 38 percent, with 15 not expressing a preference between the two.

In a four-way matchup that also included Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein, Clinton took in 41 percent of support for likely voters, while Trump had 38 percent, Johnson had 11 percent and Stein had two percent, with seven percent expressing no preference. Among all likely voters, Clinton had 39 percent, Trump had 35 percent, Johnson had 12 percent and Stein had three percent, with 10 percent declining to select one of them.

Clinton’s lead has dropped slightly since this poll was last taken at the end of August – at that time, she led Trump by three points, with 45 percent to 42 percent among likely voters, with 10 percent expressing no preference. She also led Trump by 42 percent to 37 percent among registered voters, with 19 percent selecting neither.

“After a strong bump in Clinton’s favor following the national party conventions, the electorate in Wisconsin has returned to about where the vote stood in July, prior to the conventions,” Charles Franklin, director of the Marquette Law School Poll and Professor of Law and Public Policy, said of the late August survey.

Clinton still maintains a lead over Trump in polling averages, which show the former secretary of state with a 3.5 lead, according to Real Clear Politics.

Sources: Marquette Law School (2), Real Clear Politics / Photo Credit: Hillary For Iowa/Flickr